MX23RW : Sunday, February 11 23:07:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1 - 0
Casa Pia
Yakubu (88')
Freire (14'), Teixeira (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Neto (13'), Clayton (86'), Lameiras (90+4')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 0-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, February 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Boavista
Monday, February 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Rio Ave 1-0 Casa Pia

While both sides are evenly matched on paper, Rio Ave's home advantage gives them a slight edge this weekend. Freire's have been impressive at the Estadio dos Arcos in the last three months and we see them claiming all three points, albeit by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rio Ave win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw has a probability of 22.7% and a win for Casa Pia has a probability of 16.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Casa Pia win it is 0-1 (5.99%).

Result
Rio AveDrawCasa Pia
60.9% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08) 22.75% (0.126 0.13) 16.35% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 45.96% (-0.451 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48% (-0.556 -0.56)52% (0.56 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.27% (-0.483 -0.48)73.74% (0.48699999999999 0.49)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.34% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)16.67% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.47% (-0.398 -0.4)46.53% (0.402 0.4)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.15% (-0.393 -0.39)44.85% (0.398 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.19% (-0.317 -0.32)80.81% (0.321 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 60.89%
    Casa Pia 16.35%
    Draw 22.74%
Rio AveDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 13.39% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 11.99% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.75% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.21% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.57% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.15% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 60.89%
1-1 @ 10.73% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.47% (0.165 0.17)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 22.74%
0-1 @ 5.99% (0.067 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.31% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.15% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 16.35%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Casa Pia

Rio Ave
59.4%
Draw
31.3%
Casa Pia
9.4%
32
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 4
Casa Pia
1-1
Rio Ave
Roberto (13')
Clayton (75')
Joca (52')
Graca (77'), Pantalon (90+4')
Apr 16, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 28
Rio Ave
1-1
Casa Pia
Pantalon (52')
Martins (17')
Oct 30, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 11
Casa Pia
1-0
Rio Ave
Godwin (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
11.30pm
49ers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon20171258193952
2Benfica21164146143252
3Porto20143333132045
4Braga21124544321240
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes21124534221240
6MoreirenseMoreirense2110562624235
7SC FarenseFarense217592929026
8AroucaArouca207493227525
9BoavistaBoavista216692938-924
10FamalicaoFamalicao205871924-523
11Gil Vicente2064103034-422
12Estoril PraiaEstoril2163123537-221
13Rio AveRio Ave214982129-821
14Estrela Amadora2156102232-1021
15PortimonensePortimonense2163122344-2121
16Casa Pia2155111935-1620
17ChavesChaves2135132047-2714
18Vizela2027111838-2013

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