

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rio Ave win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw has a probability of 22.7% and a win for Casa Pia has a probability of 16.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Casa Pia win it is 0-1 (5.99%).
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 60.9% ( | 22.75% ( | 16.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48% ( | 52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.27% ( | 73.74% ( |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.34% ( | 16.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.47% ( | 46.53% ( |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.15% ( | 44.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.19% ( | 80.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 1-0 @ 13.39% ( 2-0 @ 11.99% ( 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 3-0 @ 7.17% ( 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 4-0 @ 3.21% ( 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 5-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.78% Total : 60.89% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 2-2 @ 3.86% ( Other @ 0.67% Total : 22.74% | 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 1-2 @ 4.31% ( 0-2 @ 2.4% ( 1-3 @ 1.15% ( 2-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 1.47% Total : 16.35% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 20 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 58 | 19 | 39 | 52 |
| 2 | Benfica | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 14 | 32 | 52 |
| 3 | Porto | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 13 | 20 | 45 |
| 4 | Braga | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 40 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 26 |
| 8 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 25 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 24 |
| 10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 23 |
| 11 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 21 |
| 13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
| 14 | Estrela Amadora | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 21 |
| 15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 |
| 17 | ChavesChaves | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 14 |
| 18 | Vizela | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 13 |
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