

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 84.62%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 4.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.24%) and 4-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.02%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (1.69%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Casa Pia | 
| 84.62% (  -0.01) | 10.58% (  0.08) | 4.81% (  -0.06) | 
| Both teams to score 43.04% (  -0.98) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 69.33% (  -0.88) | 30.67% (  0.89) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 48.01% (  -1.06) | 52% (  1.07) | 
| Sporting Lisbon Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 94.89% (  -0.16) | 5.11% (  0.16) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 79.69% (  -0.48) | 20.32% (  0.49) | 
| Casa Pia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 45.36% (  -0.95) | 54.64% (  0.96) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 12.34% (  -0.59) | 87.67% (  0.59) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Casa Pia | 
| 2-0 @ 12.35% (  0.35) 3-0 @ 12.24% (  0.22) 4-0 @ 9.1% (  0.06) 1-0 @ 8.31% (  0.32) 2-1 @ 7.46% (  -0) 3-1 @ 7.4% (  -0.08) 4-1 @ 5.5% (  -0.12) 5-0 @ 5.41% (  -0.02) 5-1 @ 3.27% (  -0.11) 6-0 @ 2.68% (  -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.24% (  -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.66% (  -0.09) 6-1 @ 1.62% (  -0.07) 7-0 @ 1.14% (  -0.03) 5-2 @ 0.99% (  -0.06) Other @ 3.25% Total : 84.62% | 1-1 @ 5.02% (  0.05) 0-0 @ 2.79% (  0.14) 2-2 @ 2.26% (  -0.07) Other @ 0.51% Total : 10.58% | 0-1 @ 1.69% (  0.04) 1-2 @ 1.52% (  -0.03) Other @ 1.61% Total : 4.81% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 44 | 12 | 32 | 51 | 
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 49 | 
| 3 | Porto | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 13 | 20 | 45 | 
| 4 | Braga | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 40 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 39 | 
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 32 | 
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 25 | 
| 8 | SC FarenseFarense | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 25 | 
| 9 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 22 | 
| 10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 | 
| 11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 21 | 
| 12 | BoavistaBoavista | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 21 | 
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 21 | 
| 14 | Casa Pia | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 20 | 
| 15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 18 | 
| 16 | Estrela Amadora | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 | 
| 17 | ChavesChaves | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 14 | 
| 18 | Vizela | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 13 | 
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