

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 80.96%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 6.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.61%) and 1-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 80.96% ( | 12.71% ( | 6.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.39% ( | 34.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.44% ( | 56.56% ( |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.43% ( | 6.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 75.56% ( | 24.44% ( |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.45% ( | 52.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 13.64% ( | 86.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 2-0 @ 12.79% ( 3-0 @ 11.61% ( 1-0 @ 9.39% ( 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 4-0 @ 7.91% ( 3-1 @ 7.47% ( 4-1 @ 5.09% ( 5-0 @ 4.31% ( 5-1 @ 2.77% ( 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 6-0 @ 1.96% ( 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 6-1 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 4.12% Total : 80.95% | 1-1 @ 6.04% ( 0-0 @ 3.45% ( 2-2 @ 2.65% ( Other @ 0.58% Total : 12.71% | 0-1 @ 2.22% ( 1-2 @ 1.94% ( Other @ 2.16% Total : 6.33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 44 | 12 | 32 | 51 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 49 |
| 3 | Porto | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 13 | 20 | 45 |
| 4 | Braga | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 39 |
| 6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 32 |
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 25 |
| 8 | SC FarenseFarense | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 25 |
| 9 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 22 |
| 10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
| 11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 21 |
| 12 | BoavistaBoavista | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 21 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 21 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 20 |
| 15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 18 |
| 16 | Estrela Amadora | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | ChavesChaves | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 14 |
| 18 | Vizela | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 13 |
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