Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Portimonense |
55.06% (![]() | 24.01% (![]() | 20.93% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.28% (![]() | 50.71% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.38% (![]() | 72.61% (![]() |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.7% (![]() | 18.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.62% (![]() | 49.37% (![]() |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.2% (![]() | 38.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.47% (![]() | 75.53% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 12.05% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.23% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.69% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.49% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.29% Total : 55.04% | 1-1 @ 11.41% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.1% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.59% ( ![]() Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 6.72% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 1.46% Total : 20.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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