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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Dec 2, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Portimonense
Casa Pia
1 - 0
Portimonense
Justo (55')
Justo (13'), Moreira (14'), Dias (42'), Geraldes (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pedrao (67'), Jasper (74'), Varela (90+3')
Cassama (90+5')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Casa Pia (6-5 pen.)
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Portimonense 1-4 Braga
Saturday, November 25 at 3.30pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Casa Pia 0-1 Portimonense

Nothing seems to be clicking for Casa Pia at the moment, and their lack of goals this season does not bode well for their chances of avoiding the drop. Portimonense will be licking their lips at this one, knowing that their opponents are in a bad way. We are expecting a low-scoring affair here and feel as though the first goal could end up being the winner. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Casa Pia in this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawPortimonense
45.52% (-0.109 -0.11) 26.21% (0.026999999999997 0.03) 28.26% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.77% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.64% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)53.36% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1% (-0.058 -0.06)74.9% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.62% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)23.38% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.64% (-0.118 -0.12)57.35% (0.118 0.12)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27% (0.028999999999996 0.03)33.73% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61% (0.031000000000002 0.03)70.39% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 45.52%
    Portimonense 28.26%
    Draw 26.21%
Casa PiaDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 11.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.33% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 45.52%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.89% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 8.57% (0.029000000000002 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.77% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.66% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 28.26%

Head to Head
May 5, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 31
Casa Pia
1-1
Portimonense
Soares (68')
Rochez (90+5')
Dec 28, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 14
Portimonense
1-2
Casa Pia
Luquinhas (35' pen.)
Neto (31' og.), Antoine (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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6 4 3
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon16131237172040
2Benfica16123131102139
3Porto16112323121135
4Braga16103340231733
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes169342618830
6MoreirenseMoreirense167542117426
7FamalicaoFamalicao175751720-322
8SC FarenseFarense176382323021
9Casa Pia175481823-519
10PortimonensePortimonense175391836-1818
11Estoril PraiaEstoril165293029117
12Estrela Amadora164571723-617
13BoavistaBoavista164572230-817
14AroucaArouca164482223-116
15Gil Vicente164392630-415
16Rio AveRio Ave163671824-615
17Vizela162771523-813
18ChavesChaves1632111841-2311

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