Portimonense 1-3 Benfica - Primeira Liga - September 24, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

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Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Sandro Oliveira Alves Varela (56')
Sandro Oliveira Alves Varela (35')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Bah (5'), Musa (17'), Neres (66')

The Match

More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-2 Portimonense
Sunday, September 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 0-2 Salzburg
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Portimonense 1-4 Benfica

Having stunned Vitoria last time out, Portimonense will back themselves to take something from a Benfica side that have not always been convincing this season. However, we feel that the 2022-23 title winners will be motivated to let out some frustration after their disappointment in the Champions League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 74.51%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 9.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.65%) and 0-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Benfica
9.81% ( -0.7)	15.67% ( -0.35)	74.51% ( 1.04)

Both teams to score 50.32% (

-1.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.9% (

-0.52)

36.1% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.79% (

-0.57)

58.2% (

0.57)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.84% (

-1.7)

45.16% (

1.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.94% (

-1.38)

81.06% (

1.38)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.76% (

0.1)

8.23% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.21% (

0.25)

28.78% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Portimonense 9.81%

Benfica 74.51%

Draw 15.67%

Portimonense	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.78% Total : 9.81%	1-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.92% Total : 15.67%	0-2 @ 11.59% ( 0.41) 0-3 @ 9.65% ( 0.39) 0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 7.67% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 6.02% ( 0.27) 1-4 @ 4.79% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.17) 0-5 @ 3.01% ( 0.15) 1-5 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.09) 0-6 @ 1.25% ( 0.07) 1-6 @ 1% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.74% Total : 74.51%

How you voted: Portimonense vs Benfica

Portimonense

5.6%

Draw

11.1%

Benfica

83.3%

Head to Head

May 13, 2023 6pm

Gameweek 32

1-5

Pedrao (38')
Pedrao (34'), Seck (74')

Grimaldo (4'), Relvas (28' og.), Ramos (45'), Musa (87', 89')
Chiquinho (32')

Jan 6, 2023 7pm

Gameweek 15

1-0

Mario (9' pen.)

Mar 5, 2022 6pm

Gameweek 25

1-2

Junior (25')
Sergio (28'), Willyan (45+7'), Junior (45+8'), Da Costa (45+15'), Sergio (45+15'), Possignolo (63'), Luquinhas (74')
Moufi (90+5')

Grimaldo (45+7'), Ramos (50')
Vertonghen (41'), Ramos (57'), Bernardo (90+1')

Oct 3, 2021 6pm

Gameweek 8

0-1

Yaremchuk (12'), Nunez (42')

Possignolo (66')
Boa Morte (44'), Carlinhos (60'), Possignolo (62'), Portugal (80'), Willyan (90')

Apr 22, 2021 7pm

Gameweek 28

1-5

Beto (43')
Poha (72')

Pizzi (45+2'), Nunez (50'), Seferovic (64', 73'), Everton (90+4')
Gabriel (6'), Otamendi (78')