Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 28, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Farense
1 - 3
Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Farense
Saturday, January 20 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, January 20 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
26
Last Game: Porto 5-0 Moreirense
Saturday, January 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, January 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: SC Farense 1-3 Porto
While Farense have been impressive this season, they have struggled against the league's big-hitters and their historical record in this contest does not bode well for their chances. Porto will know the importance of securing the points in this one, and we fancy them to get the job done fairly comfortably. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 67.1%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 12.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.6%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Porto |
12.9% ( 0) | 20% ( 0) | 67.1% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.88% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
