

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 21.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 56.71% ( | 21.79% ( | 21.49% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.56% ( | 40.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.18% ( | 62.81% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.9% ( | 14.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.27% ( | 41.73% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.58% ( | 32.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.06% ( | 68.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 3-1 @ 6.45% ( 3-0 @ 5.73% ( 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 4-1 @ 3.16% ( 4-0 @ 2.81% ( 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 5-0 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 3.21% Total : 56.71% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0-0 @ 4.57% ( 3-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.79% | 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0-1 @ 5.15% ( 0-2 @ 2.9% ( 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 21.5% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 26 | 36 | 73 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 89 | 34 | 55 | 67 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 68 | 32 | 36 | 62 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 48 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 47 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 37 |
| 9 | Groningen | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 35 |
| 10 | Heracles | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 35 |
| 11 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 33 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 33 |
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 32 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
| 16 | Willem II | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 24 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 62 | -27 | 19 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 19 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
