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Bundesliga

Hoffenheim logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
Apr 26, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
DnB NOR Arena
Dortmund logo

Hoffenheim
2 - 3
Dortmund

Hlozek (61'), Kaderabek (90')
Chaves (64'), Stach (90+12'), Kaderabek (90+8'), Nsoki (90+7'), Tohumcu (90+13')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guirassy (20'), Brandt (74'), Anton (90+5')
Anton (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, April 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 3-2 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, April 20 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 37.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.23%) and 3-1 (4.98%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund
40.7% (0.127 0.13)22.1% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)37.21% (-0.119 -0.12)
Both teams to score 68.9% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.77% (0.040999999999997 0.04)31.22% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.34% (0.048999999999999 0.05)52.65% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.73% (0.063999999999993 0.06)16.26% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.2% (0.123 0.12)45.8% (-0.126 -0.13)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.28% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)17.71% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.62% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)48.38% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 40.7%
    Borussia Dortmund 37.21%
    Draw 22.1%
HoffenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.31% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.96% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.008 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 40.7%
1-1 @ 9.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 7.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 2.88% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.49% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 22.1%
1-2 @ 7.84% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.99% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.52% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.32% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.78% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 37.21%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Dortmund

Hoffenheim
24.4%
Draw
11.1%
Borussia Dortmund
64.4%
45
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