MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:20:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Hoffenheim logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
Apr 26, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
DnB NOR Arena
Dortmund logo

Hoffenheim
2 - 3
Dortmund

Hlozek (61'), Kaderabek (90')
Chaves (64'), Stach (90+12'), Kaderabek (90+8'), Nsoki (90+7'), Tohumcu (90+13')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guirassy (20'), Brandt (74'), Anton (90+5')
Anton (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, April 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-3 Borussia Dortmund

Hoffenheim will likely struggle to keep Dortmund at bay, and they could find it difficult to get back into a winning position should they concede first. It would not be surprising if the visitors scored more than once, and given Hoffenheim's poor record at home, BVB will be confident of claiming all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 37.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.23%) and 3-1 (4.98%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund
40.7% (0.127 0.13) 22.1% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 37.21% (-0.119 -0.12)
Both teams to score 68.9% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.77% (0.040999999999997 0.04)31.22% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.34% (0.048999999999999 0.05)52.65% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.73% (0.063999999999993 0.06)16.26% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.2% (0.123 0.12)45.8% (-0.126 -0.13)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.28% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)17.71% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.62% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)48.38% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 40.7%
    Borussia Dortmund 37.21%
    Draw 22.1%
HoffenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.31% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.96% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.008 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 40.7%
1-1 @ 9.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 7.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 2.88% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.49% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 22.1%
1-2 @ 7.84% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.99% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.52% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.32% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.78% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 37.21%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Dortmund

Hoffenheim
24.4%
Draw
11.1%
Borussia Dortmund
64.4%
45
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 14
Dortmund
1-1
Hoffenheim
Reyna (46')
Gross (26'), Nmecha (44'), Reyna (73'), Bynoe-Gittens (76'), Adeyemi (90+5')
Bruun Larsen (90+1')
Gendrey (21'), Geiger (90+4')
Feb 25, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 23
Dortmund
2-3
Hoffenheim
Malen (21'), Schlotterbeck (25')
Sabitzer (45'), Malen (90+4')
Bebou (2'), Beier (61', 64')
Tohumcu (24'), Brooks (90+3'), Geiger (90+4')
Nov 1, 2023 5pm
Second Round
Dortmund
1-0
Hoffenheim
Reus (43')
Schlotterbeck (56')

Kabak (66'), Weghorst (75')
Kabak (90+3')
Sep 29, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 6
Hoffenheim
1-3
Dortmund
Kramaric (25' pen.)
Brooks (44'), Vogt (61'), Kabak (85')
Fullkrug (18'), Reus (45+3'), Ryerson (90+5')
Hummels (23'), Nmecha (60'), Bensebaini (67'), Reus (86')
Bensebaini (71')
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!