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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 5, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Dortmund logo

Freiburg
1 - 4
Dortmund

Eggestein (88')
Ginter (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adeyemi (34'), Chukwuemeka (51'), Guirassy (68'), Bynoe-Gittens (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 1-2 Union Berlin
Sunday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 3-1 Mainz
Sunday, March 30 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Freiburg has a probability of 32.74% and a draw has a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Freiburg win is 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.35%).

Result
FreiburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
32.74% (-0.253 -0.25)23.2% (-0.332 -0.33)44.06% (0.587 0.59)
Both teams to score 63.39% (1.128 1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.08% (1.523 1.52)37.92% (-1.52 -1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.82% (1.606 1.61)60.18% (-1.603 -1.6)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (0.58099999999999 0.58)23.02% (-0.578 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.16% (0.846 0.85)56.83% (-0.842 -0.84)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.35% (0.85300000000001 0.85)17.65% (-0.85 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.74% (1.456 1.46)48.26% (-1.453 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 32.74%
    Borussia Dortmund 44.06%
    Draw 23.2%
FreiburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.6% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-0 @ 5.97% (-0.337 -0.34)
2-0 @ 4.38% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-1 @ 3.72% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 32.74%
1-1 @ 10.35% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-2 @ 6.59% (0.112 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.06% (-0.303 -0.3)
3-3 @ 1.87% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.2%
1-2 @ 8.98% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-3 @ 5.19% (0.142 0.14)
2-3 @ 3.81% (0.167 0.17)
0-3 @ 3.53% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.25% (0.121 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.65% (0.115 0.12)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 44.06%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Dortmund

Freiburg
44.2%
Draw
14.0%
Borussia Dortmund
41.9%
43
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Dortmund
4-0
Freiburg
Beier (7'), Nmecha (40'), Brandt (66'), Bynoe-Gittens (77')
Couto (80')

Osterhage (58')
Osterhage (63'), Adamu (90+3')
Feb 9, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
Dortmund
3-0
Freiburg
Malen (16', 45+7'), Fullkrug (87')
Ryerson (14'), Malen (73')
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Freiburg
2-4
Dortmund
Holer (45+2'), Hofler (45+6')
Lienhart (87'), Eggestein (89')
Hofler (82')
Hummels (11', 88'), Malen (60'), Reus (90+2')
Bensebaini (45+4'), Wolf (68'), Can (78')
Feb 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Dortmund
5-1
Freiburg
Schlotterbeck (26'), Adeyemi (48'), Haller (51'), Brandt (69'), Reyna (82')
Holer (45')
Aug 12, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Freiburg
1-3
Dortmund
Gregoritsch (35')
Kyereh (86')
Bynoe-Gittens (77'), Moukoko (84'), Wolf (88')
Meunier (33'), Bellingham (60'), Schlotterbeck (67')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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