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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Freiburg has a probability of 32.74% and a draw has a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Freiburg win is 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.35%).
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 32.74% ( | 23.2% ( | 44.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.39% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.08% ( | 37.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.82% ( | 60.18% ( |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.98% ( | 23.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.16% ( | 56.83% ( |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.35% ( | 17.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.74% ( | 48.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 1-0 @ 5.97% ( 2-0 @ 4.38% ( 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 4-2 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 3.14% Total : 32.74% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0-0 @ 4.06% ( 3-3 @ 1.87% ( Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.2% | 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0-2 @ 6.11% ( 1-3 @ 5.19% ( 2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0-3 @ 3.53% ( 1-4 @ 2.25% ( 2-4 @ 1.65% ( 0-4 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 3.95% Total : 44.06% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 |
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 |
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 |
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 |
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 |
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 |
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 |
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 |
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