MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:21:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 5, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Dortmund logo

Freiburg
1 - 4
Dortmund

Eggestein (88')
Ginter (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adeyemi (34'), Chukwuemeka (51'), Guirassy (68'), Bynoe-Gittens (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 1-2 Union Berlin
Sunday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 3-1 Mainz
Sunday, March 30 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Borussia Dortmund

Freiburg are unlikely to prevent Dortmund from scoring given their poor form of late, but the visitors' record on the road is also concerning. BVB may struggle at the back with so many defenders ruled out, while the absence of a traditional striker up front could prove costly in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Freiburg has a probability of 32.74% and a draw has a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Freiburg win is 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.35%).

Result
FreiburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
32.74% (-0.253 -0.25) 23.2% (-0.332 -0.33) 44.06% (0.587 0.59)
Both teams to score 63.39% (1.128 1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.08% (1.523 1.52)37.92% (-1.52 -1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.82% (1.606 1.61)60.18% (-1.603 -1.6)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (0.58099999999999 0.58)23.02% (-0.578 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.16% (0.846 0.85)56.83% (-0.842 -0.84)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.35% (0.85300000000001 0.85)17.65% (-0.85 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.74% (1.456 1.46)48.26% (-1.453 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 32.74%
    Borussia Dortmund 44.06%
    Draw 23.2%
FreiburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.6% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-0 @ 5.97% (-0.337 -0.34)
2-0 @ 4.38% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-1 @ 3.72% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 32.74%
1-1 @ 10.35% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-2 @ 6.59% (0.112 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.06% (-0.303 -0.3)
3-3 @ 1.87% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.2%
1-2 @ 8.98% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-3 @ 5.19% (0.142 0.14)
2-3 @ 3.81% (0.167 0.17)
0-3 @ 3.53% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.25% (0.121 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.65% (0.115 0.12)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 44.06%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Dortmund

Freiburg
44.2%
Draw
14.0%
Borussia Dortmund
41.9%
43
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Dortmund
4-0
Freiburg
Beier (7'), Nmecha (40'), Brandt (66'), Bynoe-Gittens (77')
Couto (80')

Osterhage (58')
Osterhage (63'), Adamu (90+3')
Feb 9, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
Dortmund
3-0
Freiburg
Malen (16', 45+7'), Fullkrug (87')
Ryerson (14'), Malen (73')
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Freiburg
2-4
Dortmund
Holer (45+2'), Hofler (45+6')
Lienhart (87'), Eggestein (89')
Hofler (82')
Hummels (11', 88'), Malen (60'), Reus (90+2')
Bensebaini (45+4'), Wolf (68'), Can (78')
Feb 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Dortmund
5-1
Freiburg
Schlotterbeck (26'), Adeyemi (48'), Haller (51'), Brandt (69'), Reyna (82')
Holer (45')
Aug 12, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Freiburg
1-3
Dortmund
Gregoritsch (35')
Kyereh (86')
Bynoe-Gittens (77'), Moukoko (84'), Wolf (88')
Meunier (33'), Bellingham (60'), Schlotterbeck (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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