MX23RW : Sunday, April 27 23:11:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League | Gameweek 28
Apr 26, 2025 at 6am UK
Suncorp Stadium
Wellington Phoenix

Brisbane Roar
1 - 0
Wellington

Berenguer (58')
Zimarino (85'), Acton (90+3'), Acton (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rufer (60'), Kelly-Heald (80'), Sutton (85')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-1 Adelaide United
Tuesday, April 22 at 10am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 3-2 Wellington
Friday, April 18 at 10.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.95%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawWellington Phoenix
42.57% (0.201 0.2) 23.33% (0.333 0.33) 34.1% (-0.538 -0.54)
Both teams to score 63.41% (-1.435 -1.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.89% (-1.811 -1.81)38.1% (1.804 1.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.62% (-1.953 -1.95)60.37% (1.947 1.95)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.66% (-0.65899999999999 -0.66)18.33% (0.653 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.56% (-1.123 -1.12)49.43% (1.117 1.12)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.64% (-1.127 -1.13)22.35% (1.121 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.15% (-1.712 -1.71)55.84% (1.706 1.71)
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 42.57%
    Wellington Phoenix 34.1%
    Draw 23.32%
Brisbane RoarDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.102 0.1)
1-0 @ 6.95% (0.448 0.45)
2-0 @ 5.9% (0.262 0.26)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.047999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.74% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-0 @ 3.34% (0.08 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 42.57%
1-1 @ 10.41% (0.33 0.33)
2-2 @ 6.62% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-0 @ 4.1% (0.344 0.34)
3-3 @ 1.87% (-0.15 -0.15)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.32%
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.14% (0.322 0.32)
0-2 @ 4.6% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 34.1%

Head to Head
Feb 6, 2025 4am
Gameweek 18
Wellington
1-1
Brisbane Roar
Hughes (61')
Retre (51')
Hore (71')
Bility (25'), O'Shea (39'), Zimarino (90+5')
Mar 31, 2024 12am
Gameweek 22
Wellington
1-0
Brisbane Roar
Kraev (2')
Ball (43')
Rufer (81')

Hore (73'), Aldred (90+6')
Feb 2, 2024 8.45am
Gameweek 15
Brisbane Roar
1-1
Wellington
Brown (90+4')
Nikolovski (59'), Zabala (90+1')
Kraev (51')
Pennington (64'), Kraev (89')
Nov 4, 2023 4.30am
Gameweek 3
Wellington
5-2
Brisbane Roar
Payne (24'), Zawada (32', 63', 90+2'), Kraev (58')
Kraev (33'), Zawada (80')
Berenguer (1'), Mileusnic (53')
Apr 16, 2023 4am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auckland FC25158247232453
2Melbourne CityMelbourne City25136636241245
3Western UnitedWestern Utd25135751351644
4Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney25127655391643
5Melbourne VictoryVictory2512674335842
6Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2610885355-238
7Sydney FCSydney FC25107852411137
8Macarthur2596104942733
9Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets2585124243-129
10Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast2551192849-2126
11Wellington PhoenixWellington2566132741-1424
12Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2546153050-2018
13Perth GloryPerth Glory2535172056-3614


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!