MX23RW : Friday, May 9 18:08:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Adelaide United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 27
Apr 18, 2025 at 10.35am UK
Coopers Stadium
Wellington Phoenix

Adelaide United
3 - 2
Wellington

Kikianis (8'), Mauk (12'), Goodwin (89')
Mauk (44'), Kikianis (52')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Barbarouses (31'), Hughes (35')
Payne (44'), Brooke-Smith (85')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions
Last Game: Perth Glory 4-1 Adelaide United
Saturday, April 12 at 12.45pm in Australian A-League

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 2-3 Victory
Saturday, April 12 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 63.39%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 18.86% and a draw had a probability of 17.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (4.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawWellington Phoenix
63.39% (-0.622 -0.62) 17.75% (0.468 0.47) 18.86% (0.161 0.16)
Both teams to score 69% (-1.669 -1.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.44% (-2.097 -2.1)24.56% (2.104 2.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.66% (-2.812 -2.81)44.33% (2.818 2.82)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.39% (-0.684 -0.68)7.61% (0.69 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.79% (-1.798 -1.8)27.21% (1.805 1.81)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.68% (-1.239 -1.24)25.31% (1.245 1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.91% (-1.732 -1.73)60.09% (1.739 1.74)
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 63.39%
    Wellington Phoenix 18.86%
    Draw 17.75%
Adelaide UnitedDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.317 0.32)
3-1 @ 7.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 6.39% (0.449 0.45)
3-0 @ 5.49% (0.198 0.2)
3-2 @ 5.18% (-0.185 -0.19)
1-0 @ 4.96% (0.512 0.51)
4-1 @ 4.85% (-0.175 -0.18)
4-0 @ 3.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 3.33% (-0.247 -0.25)
5-1 @ 2.5% (-0.185 -0.19)
5-0 @ 1.82% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-2 @ 1.72% (-0.195 -0.2)
4-3 @ 1.53% (-0.173 -0.17)
6-1 @ 1.07% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 4.7%
Total : 63.39%
1-1 @ 6.82% (0.48 0.48)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 2.37% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-0 @ 1.93% (0.26 0.26)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 17.75%
1-2 @ 4.68% (0.17 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-1 @ 2.65% (0.274 0.27)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.82% (0.129 0.13)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 18.86%

Head to Head
Jan 11, 2025 4am
Gameweek 13
Wellington
1-2
Adelaide United
Piper (50')
Nagasawa (90')
Sheridan (7' og.), Jovanovic (75')
Vriends (90+6'), Jovanovic (90+7')
Mar 3, 2024 4am
Gameweek 19
Wellington
3-2
Adelaide United
Old (34', 78'), Van Hattum (69')
Jovanovic (60' pen.), Ibusuki (90+4')
Sanchez (54'), Warland (76'), Irankunda (90+2'), Irankunda (90+4')
Jan 4, 2024 8.45am
Gameweek 11
Adelaide United
2-2
Wellington
Ibusuki (26', 55')
Irankunda (37'), Tunnicliffe (41'), Popovic (43'), Ibusuki (90+4')
Warland (83')
Barbarouses (15', 46')
Paulsen (77'), van Hattum (90+2')
May 5, 2023 10.45am
Adelaide United
2-0
Wellington
Goodwin (19', 67' pen.)
> Preview
Mar 17, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 21
Adelaide United
5-1
Wellington
Wootton (16' og.), Jovanovic (23'), Barr (51'), Ibusuki (62'), Goodwin (71')
Rufer (54' pen.)
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auckland FC26158349272253
2Melbourne CityMelbourne City26146641251648
3Western UnitedWestern Utd26145755371847
4Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney26137658401846
5Melbourne VictoryVictory2612774436843
6Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2610885355-238
7Sydney FCSydney FC2610795346737
8Macarthur2696115045533
9Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets2686124344-130
10Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast26511102951-2226
11Wellington PhoenixWellington2666142743-1624
12Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2656153251-1921
13Perth GloryPerth Glory2645172256-3417
> Australian A-League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!