Australian A-League | Gameweek 22
Mar 8, 2025 at 7am UK
Simonds Stadium
Western Utd4 - 1Wellington
FT(HT: 2-0)
Barry Walker (82')
Piper (9'), Rufer (13')
Piper (9'), Rufer (13')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Wellington Phoenix.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Central Coast 1-3 Western Utd
Friday, February 28 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Friday, February 28 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
36
Last Game: Wellington 0-1 Melbourne City
Friday, February 28 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Friday, February 28 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
17
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 52.02%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
52.02% ( -0.35) | 23.16% ( 0.02) | 24.82% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 57.62% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
