Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.39%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.