

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 55.6%. A win for Western United had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.4%) and 1-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western United |
| 55.6% ( | 21.01% ( | 23.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.68% ( | 34.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.77% ( | 56.23% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.58% ( | 12.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.68% ( | 38.31% ( |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.63% ( | 27.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.16% ( | 62.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 2-0 @ 7.4% ( 1-0 @ 7.09% ( 3-1 @ 6.66% ( 3-0 @ 5.14% ( 3-2 @ 4.32% ( 4-1 @ 3.48% ( 4-0 @ 2.68% ( 4-2 @ 2.25% ( 5-1 @ 1.45% ( 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 4-3 @ 0.97% ( 5-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 55.6% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0-0 @ 3.4% ( 3-3 @ 1.86% ( Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.01% | 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0-1 @ 4.4% ( 0-2 @ 2.85% ( 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 3.7% Total : 23.39% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 21 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 |
| 9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 14 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 |
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