Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 56.88%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 22.51% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.44%) and 1-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.