Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uniao de Leiria win with a probability of 86.9%. A draw had a probability of 9.4% and a win for Atletico Malveira had a probability of 3.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uniao de Leiria win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.95%) and 4-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.45%), while for an Atletico Malveira win it was 0-1 (1.45%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uniao de Leiria would win this match.