Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 55.49%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.23%) and 1-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
55.49% (![]() | 20.9% (![]() | 23.61% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.46% (![]() | 33.54% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.66% (![]() | 55.34% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.81% (![]() | 12.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.16% (![]() | 37.84% (![]() |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.23% (![]() | 26.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.95% (![]() | 62.04% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 9.52% (![]() 2-0 @ 7.23% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.87% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.4% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.02% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.63% Total : 55.49% | 1-1 @ 9.05% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.28% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.26% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.93% ( ![]() Other @ 0.38% Total : 20.9% | 1-2 @ 5.96% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.3% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.98% Total : 23.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
3 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
4 | Macarthur | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
8 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 |
10 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
11 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
12 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |