

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 55.49%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.23%) and 1-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Central Coast Mariners | 
| 55.49% (  0.06) | 20.9% (  -0.13) | 23.61% (  0.06) | 
| Both teams to score 64.3% (  0.55) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 66.46% (  0.68) | 33.54% (  -0.68) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 44.66% (  0.77) | 55.34% (  -0.77) | 
| Melbourne City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 87.81% (  0.24) | 12.19% (  -0.24) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.16% (  0.51) | 37.84% (  -0.51) | 
| Central Coast Mariners Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.23% (  0.42) | 26.77% (  -0.43) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.95% (  0.56) | 62.04% (  -0.56) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Melbourne City | Draw | Central Coast Mariners | 
| 2-1 @ 9.52% (  -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.23% (  -0.12) 1-0 @ 6.87% (  -0.18) 3-1 @ 6.68% (  0.03) 3-0 @ 5.07% (  -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.4% (  0.07) 4-1 @ 3.52% (  0.05) 4-0 @ 2.67% (  0) 4-2 @ 2.32% (  0.06) 5-1 @ 1.48% (  0.03) 5-0 @ 1.12% (  0.01) 4-3 @ 1.02% (  0.04) 5-2 @ 0.98% (  0.03) Other @ 2.63% Total : 55.49% | 1-1 @ 9.05% (  -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.28% (  0.05) 0-0 @ 3.26% (  -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.93% (  0.05) Other @ 0.38% Total : 20.9% | 1-2 @ 5.96% (  -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.3% (  -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.83% (  -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.76% (  0.05) 1-3 @ 2.62% (  0.03) 0-3 @ 1.25% (  0) 2-4 @ 0.91% (  0.03) Other @ 2.98% Total : 23.61% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 
| 2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 
| 3 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 
| 4 | Macarthur | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 
| 6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | 
| 8 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | 
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 | 
| 10 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 
| 11 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | 
| 12 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | 
| > Australian A-League Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
