Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 37.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.