

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.49%) and 3-1 (6.42%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 52.63% ( | 21.13% ( | 26.24% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.04% ( | 31.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.49% ( | 53.51% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.51% ( | 12.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.53% ( | 38.47% ( |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% ( | 24.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.74% ( | 58.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 3-1 @ 6.42% ( 1-0 @ 6.24% ( 3-2 @ 4.58% ( 3-0 @ 4.5% ( 4-1 @ 3.34% ( 4-2 @ 2.38% ( 4-0 @ 2.34% ( 5-1 @ 1.39% ( 4-3 @ 1.13% ( 5-2 @ 0.99% ( 5-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 52.63% | 1-1 @ 8.9% ( 2-2 @ 6.6% ( 0-0 @ 3% ( 3-3 @ 2.18% ( Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.14% | 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0-1 @ 4.28% ( 2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0-2 @ 3.05% ( 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 1-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 26.24% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 21 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 |
| 9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 14 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 |
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