

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 37.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.99%) and 0-2 (5.08%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Western United | 
| 37.53% (  0) | 22.85% (  0) | 39.63% (  -0) | 
| Both teams to score 65.96% (  0) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 64.95% (  0) | 35.05% (  -0) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 42.96% (  0) | 57.04% (  -0) | 
| Macarthur Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.75% (  0.01) | 19.25% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.03% (  0.01) | 50.97% (  -0) | 
| Western United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.69% (  0) | 18.31% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.6% (  0) | 49.4% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Macarthur | Draw | Western United | 
| 2-1 @ 8.12% 1-0 @ 5.81% 2-0 @ 4.79% 3-1 @ 4.46% (  0) 3-2 @ 3.79% 3-0 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-2 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.46% Total : 37.53% | 1-1 @ 9.86% 2-2 @ 6.9% (  0) 0-0 @ 3.53% 3-3 @ 2.14% (  0) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.85% | 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-1 @ 5.99% (  -0) 0-2 @ 5.08% (  -0) 1-3 @ 4.74% 2-3 @ 3.9% 0-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 2.01% 2-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.22% 3-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.88% Total : 39.63% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 23 | 
| 2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 | 
| 3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 21 | 
| 4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 | 
| 5 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 | 
| 6 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 17 | 
| 7 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 
| 8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 | 
| 9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 14 | 
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 13 | 
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 8 | 
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 | 
| > Australian A-League Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
