Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.25%) and 2-0 (5.24%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
39.83% (![]() | 23.06% (![]() | 37.12% (![]() |
Both teams to score 65.09% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.84% (![]() | 36.16% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.73% (![]() | 58.27% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.3% (![]() | 18.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.95% (![]() | 50.05% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.06% (![]() | 19.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.91% (![]() | 52.09% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 8.45% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.25% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.24% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.72% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.81% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 3.62% Total : 39.83% | 1-1 @ 10.08% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.81% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.73% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.05% ( ![]() Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 8.13% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.01% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.85% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.37% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 3.21% Total : 37.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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