

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 52.84%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 52.84% ( | 22% ( | 25.16% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.76% ( | 37.24% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.55% ( | 59.45% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.76% ( | 14.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58% ( | 42% ( |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.39% ( | 27.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.86% ( | 63.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 1-0 @ 7.66% ( 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 3-1 @ 6.24% ( 3-0 @ 4.85% ( 3-2 @ 4.02% ( 4-1 @ 3.04% ( 4-0 @ 2.36% ( 4-2 @ 1.96% ( 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 5-0 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.51% Total : 52.84% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 3-3 @ 1.72% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0-1 @ 5.06% ( 0-2 @ 3.26% ( 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 3.72% Total : 25.16% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
| 2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
| 5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
| 6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
| 11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||
