Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 52.84%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
52.84% (![]() | 22% (![]() | 25.16% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.08% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.76% (![]() | 37.24% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.55% (![]() | 59.45% (![]() |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.76% (![]() | 14.24% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58% (![]() | 42% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.39% (![]() | 27.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.86% (![]() | 63.14% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 9.61% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.66% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.47% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.24% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.85% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.02% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 3.51% Total : 52.84% | 1-1 @ 9.86% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.19% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.93% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.72% ( ![]() Other @ 0.3% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 6.35% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.06% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.26% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 3.72% Total : 25.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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