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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
May 7, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena, Harrison
Philadelphia Union
NY Red Bulls
0 - 1
Philadelphia

Reyes (25'), Struber (26'), Burke (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gazdag (31' pen.)
Flach (36'), Sullivan (45+7')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, April 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 Philadelphia
Wednesday, May 3 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: New York Red Bulls 1-1 Philadelphia Union

 New York Red Bulls have developed a habit of drawing far too many games, while Philadelphia Union have been particularly disappointing on their travels this season, still yet to pick up an away win in any competition. With both sides struggling to put a solid run of form together, the most likely outcome on Saturday is a draw.

How to watch

You can watch New York Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 49.46%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 23.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 0-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawPhiladelphia Union
49.46% (2.679 2.68) 26.97% (-0.711 -0.71) 23.58% (-1.969 -1.97)
Both teams to score 44.87% (0.139 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.89% (1.079 1.08)59.1% (-1.079 -1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.45% (0.825 0.82)79.55% (-0.82599999999999 -0.83)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96% (1.759 1.76)24.04% (-1.759 -1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.7% (2.447 2.45)58.3% (-2.448 -2.45)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.07% (-1.211 -1.21)40.93% (1.21 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.5% (-1.101 -1.1)77.5% (1.1 1.1)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 49.45%
    Philadelphia Union 23.58%
    Draw 26.96%
New York Red BullsDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 14.02% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 10% (0.592 0.59)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.247 0.25)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.503 0.5)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.322 0.32)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.084 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.254 0.25)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.184 0.18)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 49.45%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-0 @ 9.84% (-0.402 -0.4)
2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 8.79% (-0.672 -0.67)
1-2 @ 5.6% (-0.322 -0.32)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.442 -0.44)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 23.58%

Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 12am
NY Red Bulls
0-2
Philadelphia

Yearwood (90+4')
Yearwood (90+4')
Uhre (48'), Gazdag (75')
Glesnes (8'), Burke (32'), Elliott (36'), Gazdag (83')
May 15, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-1
NY Red Bulls
Gazdag (47')
Carranza (52'), Andres Martinez (65'), McGlynn (76'), Bedoya (85')
Luquinhas (66')
Nealis (25'), Fernandez (53'), Tolkin (90+4')
Nealis (55')
Nov 20, 2021 7.30pm
Philadelphia
1-0
NY Red Bulls
Glesnes (120+3')
Andres Martinez (74')

Yearwood (15'), Gutman (51'), Edwards (52'), Reyes (79')
Sep 30, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 36
NY Red Bulls
1-1
Philadelphia
Fernandez (37')
Duncan (52'), Reyes (65')
Santos (17')
Andres Martinez (45'), Wagner (85'), Blake (86'), Elliott (88')
Jul 9, 2021 1am
gameweek 15
NY Red Bulls
1-1
Philadelphia
Klimala (60' pen.)
Yearwood (45+2'), Duncan (90+7')
Santos (85')
Mbaizo (42'), Monteiro (90+7')
Matthew (57')
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Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati1410312214833
2Nashville SCNashville1584322101228
3New England RevolutionNew England147432217525
4Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia147342315824
5Atlanta UnitedAtlanta156542925423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156362025-521
7Orlando City145541717020
8DC United155462018219
9Columbus Crew145362620618
10CF MontrealMontreal146081322-918
11Chicago Fire143742124-316
12New York City FCNY City144461619-316
13New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls153751013-316
14Toronto153751519-416
15Inter MiamiInter Miami145091418-415

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City1482429141526
2Seattle SoundersSeattle158252113826
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles1274123101325
4Dallas156631714324
5San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145451819-119
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd145451315-219
7Houston DynamoHouston135351312118
8Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver144551917217
9Portland TimbersPortland154471924-516
10Austin FCAustin144461420-616
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144461423-916
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas153481322-913
13Colorado RapidsColorado152671222-1012
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy142391024-149
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