Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 39.61% ( | 23.93% ( | 36.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.39% ( | 40.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.01% ( | 62.99% ( |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% ( | 20.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.7% ( | 53.3% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.74% ( | 22.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.29% ( | 55.7% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 1-0 @ 7.26% ( 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 3-1 @ 4.51% ( 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 3-0 @ 3% ( 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 4-0 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 39.61% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0-2 @ 5.2% ( 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0-3 @ 2.6% ( 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.45% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 49 |
| 2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 41 |
| 3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 41 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 38 |
| 5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 32 |
| 6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 32 |
| 7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 29 |
| 8 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 29 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 28 |
| 10 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 27 |
| 11 | Macarthur | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 26 |
| 12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 25 |
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