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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
32.47% (![]() | 26.26% (![]() | 41.27% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.65% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.12% (![]() | 51.88% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.37% (![]() | 73.63% (![]() |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.04% (![]() | 29.97% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.93% (![]() | 66.08% (![]() |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.18% (![]() | 24.82% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.59% (![]() | 59.41% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 8.96% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.53% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.4% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.36% Total : 32.47% | 1-1 @ 12.49% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.44% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.24% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 10.36% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.7% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.22% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 2.58% Total : 41.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 31 | 8 | 7 | 82 | 47 | 35 | 101 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 101 | 35 | 66 | 98 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 81 | 37 | 44 | 96 |
4 | Barnsley | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 80 | 47 | 33 | 86 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 62 | 36 | 26 | 81 |
6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 24 | 5 | 17 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 67 | 46 | 21 | 76 |
8 | Portsmouth | 46 | 17 | 19 | 10 | 61 | 50 | 11 | 70 |
9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 69 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 70 | 66 | 4 | 62 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 14 | 20 | 12 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 62 |
12 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 17 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 59 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 58 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 56 |
15 | Burton Albion | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 57 | 79 | -22 | 56 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 54 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 73 | -15 | 53 |
18 | Port Vale | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 49 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 |
20 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 46 |
R | MK Dons | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 44 | 66 | -22 | 45 |
R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 14 | 22 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 44 |
R | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 40 | 77 | -37 | 44 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 31 | 89 | -58 | 27 |
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