MX23RW : Sunday, May 7 21:53:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
Accrington Stanley
Barnsley
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Cheltenham Town
Derby logo
Exeter City
Fleetwood Town
Forest Green Rovers
Ipswich logo
Lincoln City
MK Dons
Oxford United
Peterborough United
Plymouth Argyle
Port Vale
Portsmouth
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Shrewsbury Town
Wycombe Wanderers
Charlton Athletic
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Valley
Port Vale
Charlton
3 - 2
Port Vale
Campbell (14'), Rak-Sakyi (57'), Leaburn (77')
Clare (4'), Hector (39'), Morgan (65'), Dobson (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Plant (62'), Taylor (90+7' pen.)
Proctor (39')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Charlton Athletic 2-0 Port Vale

Port Vale would have taken confidence from Saturday's win against Bristol Rovers, but picking up a win at The Valley may prove to be a difficult challenge. The Valiants have not won an away game since New Year's Day, and we think that Charlton will take advantage of Port Vale's away day struggles to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawPort Vale
45.86% (-0.347 -0.35) 23.49% (0.062000000000001 0.06) 30.65% (0.289 0.29)
Both teams to score 61.3% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.76% (-0.14 -0.14)40.24% (0.145 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.39% (-0.146 -0.15)62.61% (0.149 0.15)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.15% (-0.19099999999999 -0.19)17.85% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.39% (-0.334 -0.33)48.61% (0.338 0.34)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.61% (0.111 0.11)25.39% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.81% (0.149 0.15)60.19% (-0.145 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 45.86%
    Port Vale 30.65%
    Draw 23.48%
Charlton AthleticDrawPort Vale
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.73% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.86% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 45.86%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.48%
1-2 @ 7.34% (0.048 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.21% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.26% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.35% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.95% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 30.65%

How you voted: Charlton vs Port Vale

Charlton Athletic
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Port Vale
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Nov 19, 2016 3pm
Oct 18, 2016 7.45pm
Port Vale
1-1
Charlton
Jones (85' pen.)
Tavares (81')
Ulvestad (30')
Holmes (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPlymouth ArgylePlymouth463187824735101
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds462812681374496
4Barnsley462681280473386
5Bolton WanderersBolton4623121162362681
6Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462451775542177
7Derby CountyDerby4621131267462176
8Portsmouth4617191061501170
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe46209175951869
10Charlton AthleticCharlton461614167066462
11Lincoln CityLincoln461420124747062
12Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46178215261-959
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood461416165351258
14Exeter CityExeter461511206468-456
15Burton Albion461511205779-2256
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham461412204561-1654
17Bristol Rovers461411215873-1553
18Port Vale461310234871-2349
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461114214956-747
20Cambridge UnitedCambridge46137264168-2746
RMK Dons461112234466-2245
22Morecambe461014224778-3144
RAccrington StanleyAccrington461111244077-3744
RForest Green RoversForest Green4669313189-5827

Ted Lasso creative

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!