The 2023 MLS season is now up and running, and you can watch every game live with the MLS season pass on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Charlotte FC | Draw | New York City FC |
37.84% (![]() | 26% (![]() | 36.15% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.21% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.81% (![]() | 50.19% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.85% (![]() | 72.15% (![]() |
Charlotte FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.11% (![]() | 25.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.13% (![]() | 60.87% (![]() |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.15% (![]() | 26.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.85% (![]() | 62.15% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Charlotte FC | Draw | New York City FC |
1-0 @ 9.39% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.35% 2-0 @ 6.35% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.27% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.84% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 6.95% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.49% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 9.14% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.12% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.01% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.56% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 3.12% Total : 36.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 28 |
3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 24 |
5 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Orlando City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 20 |
8 | DC United | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 18 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 18 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 16 |
12 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 16 |
13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 16 |
14 | Toronto | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 26 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 26 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
4 | Dallas | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 24 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 19 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 17 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 16 |
11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 13 |
13 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 9 |