

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.92%) and 0-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 2-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 20.24% ( | 21.17% ( | 58.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.24% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.73% ( | 39.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.4% ( | 61.6% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.05% ( | 32.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.48% ( | 69.52% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.86% ( | 13.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.18% ( | 39.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 5.42% ( 1-0 @ 4.81% ( 2-0 @ 2.67% ( 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 3-1 @ 2.01% ( 3-0 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 20.24% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0-0 @ 4.33% ( 3-3 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.17% | 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-2 @ 8.92% ( 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 1-3 @ 6.7% ( 0-3 @ 6.03% ( 2-3 @ 3.72% ( 1-4 @ 3.4% ( 0-4 @ 3.06% ( 2-4 @ 1.89% ( 1-5 @ 1.38% ( 0-5 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 3.59% Total : 58.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
| 2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 34 |
| 4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 34 |
| 5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 33 |
| 6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 33 |
| 7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 28 |
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 25 |
| 10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
| 11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
| 12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 19 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 11 |
| 13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 48 | -34 | 11 |
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