

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 69.03%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 13.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 3-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 69.03% ( | 17% ( | 13.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.13% ( | 30.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.77% ( | 52.23% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.88% ( | 8.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 71.5% ( | 28.5% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.19% ( | 34.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.46% ( | 71.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 2-0 @ 8.91% ( 3-1 @ 7.87% ( 3-0 @ 7.46% ( 1-0 @ 7.09% ( 4-1 @ 4.94% ( 4-0 @ 4.68% ( 3-2 @ 4.15% ( 4-2 @ 2.61% ( 5-1 @ 2.48% ( 5-0 @ 2.35% ( 5-2 @ 1.31% ( 6-1 @ 1.04% ( 6-0 @ 0.98% ( 4-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.84% Total : 69.03% | 1-1 @ 7.49% ( 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0-0 @ 2.82% ( 3-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 17% | 1-2 @ 3.95% ( 0-1 @ 2.98% ( 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0-2 @ 1.57% ( 1-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 13.96% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 8 |
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 |
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