Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 53.76%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.6%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.