

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.66%. A win for Macarthur has a probability of 22.56% and a draw has a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.55%) and 1-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Macarthur win is 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.1%).
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Macarthur |
| 56.66% ( | 20.78% ( | 22.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.78% ( | 34.22% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.88% ( | 56.12% ( |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.92% ( | 12.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.39% ( | 37.61% ( |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.02% ( | 27.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.38% ( | 63.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 1-0 @ 7.15% ( 3-1 @ 6.78% ( 3-0 @ 5.32% ( 3-2 @ 4.31% ( 4-1 @ 3.58% ( 4-0 @ 2.81% ( 4-2 @ 2.28% ( 5-1 @ 1.51% ( 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 4-3 @ 0.97% ( 5-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 56.66% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0-0 @ 3.38% ( 3-3 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.78% | 1-2 @ 5.8% ( 0-1 @ 4.31% ( 0-2 @ 2.74% ( 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.49% Total : 22.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 8 |
| 2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Macarthur | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 6 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 10 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3 |
| 11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 |
| 12 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 0 |
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