

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Bologna |
| 64.91% ( | 19.54% ( | 15.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.4% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.19% ( | 39.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.83% ( | 62.16% ( |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.46% ( | 11.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.55% ( | 36.44% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.49% ( | 38.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.74% ( | 75.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Bologna |
| 2-0 @ 10.36% ( 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 1-0 @ 9.59% ( 3-0 @ 7.46% ( 3-1 @ 7.12% ( 4-0 @ 4.03% ( 4-1 @ 3.84% ( 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 5-0 @ 1.74% ( 5-1 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 3.99% Total : 64.91% | 1-1 @ 9.15% ( 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.54% | 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0-1 @ 4.24% ( 0-2 @ 2.02% ( 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 1-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 2.03% Total : 15.54% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 79 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 37 | 23 | 9 | 5 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 78 |
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 76 | 34 | 42 | 74 |
| 4 | Juventus | 37 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 67 |
| 5 | Roma | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 54 | 35 | 19 | 66 |
| 6 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 48 | 13 | 65 |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 62 |
| 8 | Bologna | 37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 62 |
| 9 | AC Milan | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 60 |
| 10 | Como | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 49 | 50 | -1 | 49 |
| 11 | Torino | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 44 |
| 13 | Genoa | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 40 |
| 14 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 36 |
| 15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 65 | -33 | 34 |
| 16 | Parma | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 33 |
| 17 | Empoli | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 31 |
| 18 | Lecce | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 31 |
| 19 | VeneziaVenezia | 37 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 29 |
| R | Monza | 37 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 28 | 67 | -39 | 18 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
