Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fiorentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.