Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 49.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Cittadella had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Cittadella win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.