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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
Ajax

Almere City
2 - 2
Ajax

Ritmeester van de Kamp (67'), Robinet (90+3' pen.)
Jacobs (7'), van Bruggen (15'), Robinet (15'), Resink (75'), Koopmeiners (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Akpom (68'), Tahirovic (82')
Brobbey (15'), Rensch (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions
Last Game: Sparta 1-2 Almere City
Sunday, November 5 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 0-2 Brighton
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Almere City 1-3 Ajax

 Although Ajax are now on the up, they cannot underestimate opponents who are brimming in confidence. As a result, we feel that Ajax will produce one of their most efficient performances of the season to win a game that could move them into the top half of the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.5%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.68%) and 1-3 (6.51%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Almere CityDrawAjax
25.45% (-0.375 -0.38) 21.05% (0.132 0.13) 53.5% (0.241 0.24)
Both teams to score 65.97% (-0.91600000000001 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.7% (-1.021 -1.02)32.29% (1.019 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.09% (-1.197 -1.2)53.91% (1.195 1.19)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26% (-0.809 -0.81)24.73% (0.806 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.71% (-1.141 -1.14)59.28% (1.139 1.14)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.65% (-0.27499999999999 -0.27)12.35% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.82% (-0.574 -0.57)38.18% (0.572 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 25.45%
    Ajax 53.5%
    Draw 21.05%
Almere CityDrawAjax
2-1 @ 6.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.27% (0.135 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-0 @ 2.98% (0.025 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.9% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.39% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 25.45%
1-1 @ 8.92% (0.189 0.19)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.05% (0.165 0.17)
3-3 @ 2.12% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 21.05%
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.68% (0.225 0.23)
1-3 @ 6.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 6.39% (0.28 0.28)
0-3 @ 4.66% (0.109 0.11)
2-3 @ 4.55% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-4 @ 3.4% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2.44% (0.032 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.38% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-5 @ 1.42% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-4 @ 1.11% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-5 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
2-5 @ 0.99% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 53.5%

How you voted: Almere City vs Ajax

Almere City
16.0%
Draw
8.0%
Ajax
76.0%
25
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2022 1pm
Club Friendlies
Almere City
1-1
Ajax
Jacobs (47')
Brobbey (35')
Fitz-Jim (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax24193252183460
2PSV EindhovenPSV24164473294452
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2413744336746
4Feyenoord24128448272144
5FC Twente24127549311843
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2411584338538
8Heerenveen2486103043-1330
9Fortuna SittardSittard2485113142-1129
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11Heracles246993245-1327
12NAC BredaNAC Breda2483132642-1627
13NECNijmegen2475123434026
14PEC Zwolle2467112939-1025
15Willem II2466122638-1224
16Sparta RotterdamSparta2458112333-1023
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2435161548-3314
> Eredivisie Full Table


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