

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 52.3%. A win for Sydney FC has a probability of 25.9% and a draw has a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Sydney FC win is 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.59%).
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 52.3% ( | 21.8% ( | 25.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.47% ( | 35.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.42% ( | 57.58% ( |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.18% ( | 13.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.83% ( | 41.17% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.85% ( | 26.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.78% ( | 61.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 1-0 @ 7.15% ( 2-0 @ 7.08% ( 3-1 @ 6.26% ( 3-0 @ 4.67% ( 3-2 @ 4.2% ( 4-1 @ 3.1% ( 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 4-2 @ 2.08% ( 5-1 @ 1.23% 4-3 @ 0.93% ( 5-0 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 52.3% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0-0 @ 3.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.88% ( Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.8% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0-1 @ 4.85% ( 0-2 @ 3.25% ( 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 2-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 25.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 6 |
| 2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
| 4 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Macarthur | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 8 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 12 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 |
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