Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Las Palmas | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
28.29% (![]() | 25.81% (![]() | 45.91% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.03% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.27% (![]() | 51.73% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.49% (![]() | 73.51% (![]() |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.14% (![]() | 32.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.57% (![]() | 69.43% (![]() |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.5% (![]() | 22.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.93% (![]() | 56.07% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Las Palmas | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.23% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.83% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.58% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.7% ( ![]() Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.29% | 1-1 @ 12.27% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.4% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.09% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 11.02% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.15% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.23% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.09% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.16% Total : 45.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 32 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 88 | 32 | 56 | 73 |
2 | Real Madrid | 31 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 64 | 31 | 33 | 66 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 53 | 27 | 26 | 63 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 57 |
5 | Villarreal | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 51 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 48 |
7 | Mallorca | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 44 |
8 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 43 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 41 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 41 |
11 | Getafe | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 39 |
12 | Espanyol | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 38 |
13 | Osasuna | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 38 |
14 | Valencia | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 38 |
15 | Sevilla | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 36 |
16 | GironaGirona | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 34 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 32 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 30 |
19 | Leganes | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 29 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 73 | -52 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |