

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Atletico Madrid | 
| 28.29% (  -0.09) | 25.81% (  -0.06) | 45.91% (  0.15) | 
| Both teams to score 52.03% (  0.12) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 48.27% (  0.18) | 51.73% (  -0.18) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 26.49% (  0.15) | 73.51% (  -0.15) | 
| Las Palmas Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.14% (  0.03) | 32.86% (  -0.03) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.57% (  0.03) | 69.43% (  -0.03) | 
| Atletico Madrid Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.5% (  0.15) | 22.51% (  -0.14) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.93% (  0.22) | 56.07% (  -0.21) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Las Palmas | Draw | Atletico Madrid | 
| 1-0 @ 8.23% (  -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.83% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.58% (  -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.53% (  -0) 3-2 @ 1.89% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 1.7% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.29% | 1-1 @ 12.27% (  -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.4% (  -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.09% (  0.02) 3-3 @ 0.94% (  0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 11.02% (  -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.15% (  0.02) 0-2 @ 8.23% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 4.55% (  0.03) 0-3 @ 4.09% (  0.02) 2-3 @ 2.53% (  0.02) 1-4 @ 1.7% (  0.02) 0-4 @ 1.53% (  0.01) 2-4 @ 0.94% (  0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 45.9% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 32 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 88 | 32 | 56 | 73 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 31 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 64 | 31 | 33 | 66 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 53 | 27 | 26 | 63 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 57 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 51 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 48 | 
| 7 | Mallorca | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 44 | 
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 43 | 
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 41 | 
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 41 | 
| 11 | Getafe | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 39 | 
| 12 | Espanyol | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 38 | 
| 13 | Osasuna | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 38 | 
| 14 | Valencia | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 38 | 
| 15 | Sevilla | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 36 | 
| 16 | GironaGirona | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 34 | 
| 17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 32 | 
| 18 | AlavesAlaves | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 30 | 
| 19 | Leganes | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 29 | 
| 20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 73 | -52 | 16 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
