

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 72.68%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 12.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 3-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.51%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 72.68% ( | 15.28% ( | 12.04% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.97% ( | 27.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.48% ( | 47.52% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.52% ( | 6.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 75.79% ( | 24.21% ( |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.17% ( | 34.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.44% ( | 71.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 3-1 @ 8.13% ( 3-0 @ 7.71% ( 1-0 @ 6.17% ( 4-1 @ 5.56% ( 4-0 @ 5.27% ( 3-2 @ 4.29% ( 5-1 @ 3.04% ( 4-2 @ 2.93% ( 5-0 @ 2.89% ( 5-2 @ 1.61% ( 6-1 @ 1.39% ( 6-0 @ 1.32% ( 4-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 3.98% Total : 72.68% | 1-1 @ 6.51% ( 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0-0 @ 2.26% ( 3-3 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 0.31% Total : 15.28% | 1-2 @ 3.44% ( 0-1 @ 2.38% ( 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0-2 @ 1.26% ( 1-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 12.04% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 38 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | Ajax | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 21 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 |
| 12 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 |
| 13 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 |
| 14 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 17 |
| 15 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 16 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 |
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 40 | -22 | 11 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 11 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
