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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 72.68%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 12.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 3-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.51%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
72.68% (![]() | 15.28% (![]() | 12.04% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.95% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.97% (![]() | 27.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.48% (![]() | 47.52% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.52% (![]() | 6.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.79% (![]() | 24.21% (![]() |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.17% (![]() | 34.83% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.44% (![]() | 71.56% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-1 @ 8.91% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.45% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 8.13% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.71% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.17% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.27% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.29% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 3.98% Total : 72.68% | 1-1 @ 6.51% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.7% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.51% ( ![]() Other @ 0.31% Total : 15.28% | 1-2 @ 3.44% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 2.11% Total : 12.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 |
2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 38 |
3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 |
5 | Ajax | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 23 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 21 |
9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 |
10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 |
12 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 |
13 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 |
14 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 17 |
15 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 16 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 40 | -22 | 11 |
18 | Vitesse | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 11 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |