Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 73.52%. A draw has a probability of 16% and a win for PEC Zwolle has a probability of 10.49%.
The most likely scoreline was PSV Eindhoven 2-0 PEC Zwolle with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines were 2-1 (9.31%), 3-0 (9.27%), 1-0 (8.98%). The actual score line of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7%.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | PEC Zwolle | 
| 73.52% | 15.99% | 10.49% | 
| Both teams to score 51.86% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 64.51% | 35.5% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 42.46% | 57.55% | 
| PSV Eindhoven Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 91.7% | 8.3% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 71.04% | 28.96% | 
| PEC Zwolle Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 56.55% | 43.45% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.34% | 79.67% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | PEC Zwolle | 
| 2-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 9.31% 3-0 @ 9.27% 1-0 @ 8.98% 3-1 @ 7.73% 4-0 @ 5.77% 4-1 @ 4.81% 3-2 @ 3.22% 5-0 @ 2.87% 5-1 @ 2.39% 4-2 @ 2% 6-0 @ 1.19% 5-2 @ 1% 6-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.81% Total : 73.52% | 1-1 @ 7.48% 2-2 @ 3.88% 0-0 @ 3.61% Other @ 1.02% Total : 15.99% | 1-2 @ 3.12% 0-1 @ 3.01% 0-2 @ 1.25% 2-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.03% Total : 10.49% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Ajax | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 98 | 19 | 79 | 83 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 86 | 42 | 44 | 81 | 
| 3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 76 | 34 | 42 | 71 | 
| 4 | FC Twente | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 68 | 
| 5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 61 | 
| 6 | Vitesse | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 51 | 
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 47 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 41 | 
| 9 | Cambuur | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 39 | 
| 10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 38 | 
| 11 | NEC | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 38 | 
| 12 | Groningen | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 36 | 
| 13 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 36 | 
| 14 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 | 
| 15 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 35 | 
| 16 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 34 | 
| 17 | Willem II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 33 | 
| R | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 27 | 
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