Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Willem II in this match.
