

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.2%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 33.62% ( | 22.57% ( | 43.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.51% ( | 34.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.58% ( | 56.41% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.08% ( | 20.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.35% ( | 53.64% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.61% ( | 16.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.98% ( | 46.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 7.59% ( 1-0 @ 5.36% ( 2-0 @ 4.19% ( 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 4-2 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 3.81% Total : 33.62% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 0-0 @ 3.43% ( 3-3 @ 2.16% ( Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.57% | 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0-2 @ 5.61% ( 1-3 @ 5.29% ( 2-3 @ 4.14% ( 0-3 @ 3.38% ( 1-4 @ 2.39% ( 2-4 @ 1.87% ( 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 3-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 3.64% Total : 43.8% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 50 |
| 2 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 43 |
| 3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 41 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 39 |
| 5 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 39 |
| 6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 36 |
| 7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 34 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 32 |
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 29 |
| 10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 25 |
| 11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 24 |
| 12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 14 |
| 13 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 55 | -35 | 14 |
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