

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.24%) and 2-0 (5.49%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 42.33% ( | 22.79% ( | 34.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 65.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.81% ( | 35.19% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.8% ( | 57.2% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.76% ( | 17.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.46% ( | 47.54% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.4% ( | 20.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.86% ( | 53.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 1-0 @ 6.24% ( 2-0 @ 5.49% ( 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 3-2 @ 4.01% ( 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 4-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.29% Total : 42.33% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( 2-2 @ 6.85% ( 0-0 @ 3.55% ( 3-3 @ 2.11% ( Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0-1 @ 5.61% ( 0-2 @ 4.43% ( 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 2-3 @ 3.61% ( 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.03% Total : 34.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 21 |
| 4 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Macarthur | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 15 |
| 9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 14 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 28 | -17 | 7 |
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