

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 33.86% and a draw has a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win is 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.38%).
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 33.86% ( | 24.48% ( | 41.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.31% ( | 43.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.92% ( | 66.08% ( |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.88% ( | 25.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.18% ( | 59.82% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.94% ( | 21.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.13% ( | 53.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 1-0 @ 7.31% ( 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 3-1 @ 3.62% ( 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 3-0 @ 2.33% ( 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 4-2 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.86% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 3-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.48% | 1-2 @ 8.87% ( 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0-2 @ 6.42% ( 1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0-3 @ 3.33% ( 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0-4 @ 1.3% ( 2-4 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 41.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 7 |
| 2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Macarthur | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
| 6 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
| 9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 |
| 11 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
| 12 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 |
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