

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | SC Farense |
| 41.74% ( | 27.24% ( | 31.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.84% ( | 56.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.78% ( | 77.22% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( | 26.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.27% ( | 61.73% ( |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.86% ( | 33.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.26% ( | 69.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | SC Farense |
| 1-0 @ 11.66% ( 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 4-0 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 41.73% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.79% ( 2-2 @ 4.72% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.24% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0-2 @ 5.36% ( 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 2-3 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.03% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 88 | 27 | 61 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 84 | 28 | 56 | 80 |
| 3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 30 | 35 | 71 |
| 4 | Braga | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 66 |
| 5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 57 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 54 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 47 |
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 46 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 45 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 40 |
| 11 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 38 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 38 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 34 |
| 14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 34 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 29 |
| 16 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 27 |
| 17 | AVS | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 27 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 59 | -35 | 24 |
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