Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 76.37%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 10.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.57%), while for a Ipswich Town win it was 1-2 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.