MX23RW : Monday, April 28 03:51:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 32
Apr 26, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade Du Hameau Idron 1
Metz logo

Pau
2 - 1
Metz

Mboup (73'), Arconte (83' pen.)
Mille (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Diallo (79')
Toure (51'), Traore (53'), Sane (80'), Sane (80'), Lo (81'), Van Den Kerkhof (87')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Pau and Metz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajaccio 1-1 Pau
Friday, April 18 at 7pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Metz 2-2 Red Star
Saturday, April 19 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Pau had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
PauDrawMetz
28.71% (-0.188 -0.19) 26.03% (0.058 0.06) 45.25% (0.128 0.13)
Both teams to score 51.6% (-0.3 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.58% (-0.333 -0.33)52.42% (0.332 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9% (-0.287 -0.29)74.1% (0.28599999999999 0.29)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.1% (-0.315 -0.31)32.9% (0.315 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.53% (-0.354 -0.35)69.47% (0.352 0.35)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (-0.083999999999989 -0.08)23.1% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.05% (-0.124 -0.12)56.95% (0.121 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Pau 28.71%
    Metz 45.25%
    Draw 26.03%
PauDrawMetz
1-0 @ 8.45% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.88% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.7% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.55% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 28.71%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.6% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 11.13% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 8.16% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.43% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.99% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 45.25%

Head to Head
Jan 4, 2025 1pm
Gameweek 17
Metz
0-0
Pau
Lo (39')
Ruiz (13'), Ahoussou (34')
Apr 8, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 30
Pau
1-1
Metz
George (79')
Prior (58' og.)
Oct 1, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Metz
1-0
Pau
Dia Ndiaye (11')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lorient32215662283468
2Paris FCParis FC32205752322065
3Metz321710558292961
4DunkerqueDunkerque32173124639754
5GuingampGuingamp321631352421051
6Laval32147114235749
7Annecy32139103739-248
8Bastia32101483934544
9Grenoble32127133940-143
10PauPau321012103646-1042
11Troyes32125153431341
12AmiensAmiens32124163447-1340
13Ajaccio32116152839-1139
14Rodez AFRodez AF32910135250237
15Red Star3299143549-1436
16Martigues3294192750-2331
17Clermont32611152643-1729
18Caen3256212955-2621


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!