MX23RW : Sunday, May 18 03:05:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Caen
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 29
Apr 5, 2025 at 1pm UK
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Metz logo

Caen
2 - 2
Metz

Grandsir (47'), Lebreton (68')
Lebreton (27'), Traore (50'), M'Vila (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Van Den Kerkhof (42'), Sabaly (61')
Sane (78')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Metz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Paris FC 4-2 Caen
Monday, March 31 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Metz 2-1 Troyes
Friday, March 28 at 7pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Metz win with a probability of 50.2%. A draw has a probability of 25.8% and a win for Caen has a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.62%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Caen win it is 1-0 (8.02%).

Result
CaenDrawMetz
23.99% (0.518 0.52) 25.81% (-0.153 -0.15) 50.2% (-0.365 -0.37)
Both teams to score 48.43% (0.968 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.32% (0.991 0.99)54.68% (-0.991 -0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24% (0.815 0.82)76% (-0.816 -0.82)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.94% (1.038 1.04)38.05% (-1.039 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.18% (0.987 0.99)74.82% (-0.988 -0.99)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.18% (0.255 0.25)21.82% (-0.255 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.96% (0.384 0.38)55.03% (-0.385 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Caen 23.99%
    Metz 50.2%
    Draw 25.81%
CaenDrawMetz
1-0 @ 8.02% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08)
2-1 @ 5.9% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 3.88% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 1.9% (0.1 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.45% (0.086 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.25% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 23.99%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.3% (-0.326 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.147 0.15)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 12.64% (-0.39 -0.39)
0-2 @ 9.62% (-0.226 -0.23)
1-2 @ 9.3% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.88% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.72% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.091 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.86% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.8% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 50.2%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 13
Metz
1-0
Caen
Hein (26')
Udol (18'), Traore (45+1'), Van Den Kerkhof (60')
Feb 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Metz
0-0
Caen
Aug 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Caen
1-0
Metz
Diani (38')
Vandermersch (90+2')

Cande (25'), Boloni (26'), Maiga (28'), Mikautadze (45+3'), Ndiaga Yade (86')
Apr 21, 2018 7pm
Metz
1-1
Caen
Da Silva (71' og.)
Diagne (81'), Roux (90')
Deminguet (73')
Djiku (90')
Feb 7, 2018 5.30pm
Round of 16
Metz
2-2
Caen
(Aggregate 2-2 | Caen win 3-2 on penalties)
Niane (85'), Roux (108')
Stavitski (51'), Diomande (114')
Deminguet (96')
Bazile (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lorient34225768313771
2Paris FCParis FC34216755332269
3Metz341811564343065
4DunkerqueDunkerque34175124740756
5GuingampGuingamp341741357451255
6Annecy34149114243-151
7Laval34148124438650
8Bastia34111584337648
9Grenoble34137144344-146
10Troyes34135163634244
11AmiensAmiens34134173850-1243
12Ajaccio34126163042-1242
13PauPau341012123953-1442
14Rodez AFRodez AF34912135654239
15Red Star34911143751-1438
16Clermont34712153046-1633
17Martigues3495202956-2732
18Caen3457223158-2722


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!