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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Chesterfield
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
Technique Stadium
Morecambe

Chesterfield
4 - 1
Morecambe

Grigg (45+1'), Palmer (61'), Olakigbe (75'), Naylor (80')
McFadzean (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Slew (59')
Taylor (56'), Stott (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Chesterfield and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesterfield 3-3 Bradford
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 Salford City
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Chesterfield 2-0 Morecambe

Although Morecambe will be playing for pride in this game, it may matter little against a determined Chesterfield side. We are backing the home team to score a goal in each half to seal a relatively comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 64.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 15.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawMorecambe
64.69% (-1.318 -1.32) 19.49% (0.321 0.32) 15.82% (0.99 0.99)
Both teams to score 55.28% (1.345 1.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.02% (0.564 0.56)38.98% (-0.572 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.7% (0.59 0.59)61.3% (-0.59800000000001 -0.6)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.65% (-0.187 -0.19)11.35% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.95% (-0.402 -0.4)36.05% (0.395 0.4)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.35% (1.642 1.64)37.64% (-1.649 -1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.58% (1.569 1.57)74.42% (-1.575 -1.58)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 64.68%
    Morecambe 15.82%
    Draw 19.49%
ChesterfieldDrawMorecambe
2-0 @ 10.11% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.323 -0.32)
3-0 @ 7.34% (-0.367 -0.37)
3-1 @ 7.17% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.99% (-0.232 -0.23)
4-1 @ 3.9% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.14 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.063 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.74% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.7% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 64.68%
1-1 @ 9.08% (0.097 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.227 0.23)
0-0 @ 4.27% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.49%
1-2 @ 4.44% (0.24 0.24)
0-1 @ 4.17% (0.075 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.04% (0.124 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.139 0.14)
1-3 @ 1.45% (0.138 0.14)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 15.82%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 14
Morecambe
2-5
Chesterfield
Tollitt (10'), Naylor (62' og.)
Dackers (22'), Stott (84'), White (86'), Edwards (90+6')
Markanday (8'), Oldaker (49'), Berry (75'), Dobra (82'), Grimes (89')
Grigg (67'), Metcalfe (68')
Apr 10, 2018 7.45pm
Morecambe
2-2
Chesterfield
Thompson (16'), Lang (33')
Thompson (26'), Kenyon (26')
Dennis (55'), Kellett (74')
Brown (76')
Oct 14, 2017 3pm
Mar 25, 2014 7.45pm
Oct 5, 2013 3pm
Morecambe
4-3
Chesterfield
Ellison (47'), Hughes (62'), Sampson (71'), Amond (86')
Hughes (24'), Wright (66')
Doyle (5', 23'), McSheffrey (11')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Doncaster RoversDoncaster4523121071492281
2Port Vale452214965452080
3Bradford CityBradford4521121263451875
4Walsall4520141174542074
5Notts County4520121367472072
6AFC Wimbledon4519131355352070
7Salford City4518141362521068
8Grimsby Town45208176166-568
9Chesterfield4518131472541867
10Colchester UnitedColchester451618115247566
11Bromley451615146159263
12Crewe AlexandraCrewe451517134947262
13Swindon TownSwindon451516147163861
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood451515156059160
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham451612176067-760
16BarrowBarrow451513175250258
17Gillingham451316164046-655
18MK Dons45149225266-1451
19Accrington StanleyAccrington451214195368-1550
20Harrogate TownHarrogate451311214160-1950
21Newport CountyNewport451310225172-2149
22Tranmere RoversTranmere451115194164-2348
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle451011244269-2741
24Morecambe45106293970-3136


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