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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Salford City

Morecambe
1 - 3
Salford City

Songo'o (52')
Lewis (58'), Songo'o (66'), White (67'), Fairclough (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ashley (3'), Stockton (41'), N'Mai (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bromley 1-0 Morecambe
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Accrington
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 0-2 Salford City

Morecambe find themselves eight points away from safety with just three games to go and must secure maximum points here and hope for favourable results elsewhere to keep their slim survival hopes alive. However, Salford have been rock-solid on their travels in recent weeks and we predict that they will deliver the final blow to what has been an underwhelming campaign for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawSalford City
32.62% (0.068999999999996 0.07) 25.4% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 41.97% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 55.51% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.8% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)48.2% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.64% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)70.36% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96% (0.021000000000001 0.02)28.04% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3% (0.024999999999999 0.02)63.7% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (-0.062999999999988 -0.06)22.85% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.41% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)56.58% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 32.62%
    Salford City 41.97%
    Draw 25.4%
MorecambeDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 8.15% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.18% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39%
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 32.62%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 9.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 8.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 41.97%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Salford City

Morecambe
0.0%
Draw
14.3%
Salford City
85.7%
7
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Salford City
1-0
Morecambe
Lund (47')
Ashley (45+1')

Williams (16')
Mar 17, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 39
Salford City
3-1
Morecambe
McLennan (13'), Hendry (50'), Tilt (79')
Robinson (35'), McLennan (86')
Vassell (61' og.)
Garner (34')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Morecambe
1-0
Salford City
Mellon (25')

Lund (90+5')
Feb 23, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 31
Morecambe
2-1
Salford City
Mendes Gomes (90+4'), Wildig (90+6')
Songo'o (49'), Lavelle (90')
Thomas-Asante (45+1')
Threlkeld (90+2'), Turnbull (90+5'), Hladky (90+9')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 14
Salford City
2-1
Morecambe
Hunter (41', 44')
Denny (6'), Smith (10'), Henderson (28'), Andrade (36'), Elliott (86')
Stockton (54')
Lavelle (40'), Songo'o (61'), Cooney (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Doncaster RoversDoncaster4422121069482178
2Port Vale442114963451877
3Bradford CityBradford4421121162431975
4Walsall4420141074532174
5AFC Wimbledon4419131255332270
6Notts County4419121364461869
7Grimsby Town44207176166-567
8Colchester UnitedColchester441618105143866
9Salford City441714135851765
10Chesterfield4417131468531564
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe441517124945462
12Bromley441614145856262
13Swindon TownSwindon441515147062860
14BarrowBarrow441512174947257
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155859-157
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham441512175765-857
17Gillingham441315163945-654
18MK Dons44148225266-1450
19Harrogate TownHarrogate441311204057-1750
20Newport CountyNewport441310215170-1949
21Accrington StanleyAccrington441114195268-1647
22Tranmere RoversTranmere441015193964-2545
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle441011234066-2641
24Morecambe44106283866-2836


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